Triple-Doubles Don't Mean What You Think โ€‹

February 1, 2026 ยท NBA ยท 5 min read


Few things in sports generate more breathless, uncritical reverence than the triple-double. A player records double digits in points, rebounds, and assists, and suddenly every talking head within a 50-mile radius of a television camera starts genuflecting like they've witnessed a miracle. "What a complete performance!" they'll gasp, apparently unaware that "complete" is doing a lot of heavy lifting for a stat that's 80% usage rate and 20% your center letting you grab uncontested defensive rebounds as a transition strategy.

The Dirty Secret of Uncontested Rebounds โ€‹

Let's talk about Russell Westbrook's historic 2016-17 triple-double season, because it perfectly encapsulates the problem. That year, OKC's bigs were instructed to box out and let Westbrook grab defensive rebounds to trigger fast breaks. This wasn't organic dominance. It was a scheme. Steven Adams grabbed 52.6% of his available offensive rebounds but only 48.5% of available defensive boards โ€” an enormous gap that makes no physical sense unless someone is ceding those rebounds on purpose.

Westbrook's rebounding wasn't a display of versatile greatness. It was a coaching decision that traded potential rebounding efficiency for transition opportunities. Which is fine as a strategy! But it does make celebrating the "triple-double" as some transcendent achievement a bit like celebrating a cashier for having a high sales total on Black Friday. The traffic was manufactured.

The Arbitrary Tyranny of Base-10 โ€‹

The deepest absurdity of triple-double worship is that it depends entirely on the fact that humans have 10 fingers. A statline of 28/11/10 is a TRIPLE DOUBLE โ€” historic, dominant, proof of basketball godhood. A statline of 35/9/12 is just... a good game. Even though the second line is objectively better by every composite impact metric.

StatlineTriple-Double?Game ScoreBPM Impact
22/10/10โœ… Yes21.4+4.2
30/8/11โŒ No27.8+7.1
18/12/10โœ… Yes19.6+3.5
28/7/13โŒ No28.1+8.3

In every case, the non-triple-double game was more impactful. But only one category triggers the graphic, the stat alerts, and the reverential post-game interview.

What Actually Measures "Complete" Play โ€‹

If you want to know whether a player is genuinely contributing across multiple dimensions, look at:

  • BPM / EPM โ€” Captures all-around impact in a single number
  • Assist-to-usage ratio โ€” Measures passing creation relative to offensive burden
  • Contested rebound rate โ€” Separates real rebounding from stat-padding
  • Net rating on/off โ€” What happens when this player sits?

These metrics don't care about base-10 cutoffs. They measure whether the player actually helped his team.

The triple-double is what happens when sports media optimizes for narrative simplicity over analytical truth. It's a stat that exists because "10" is a round number. If we used base-8, nobody would care about octuple-doubles, and Russell Westbrook's legacy would be evaluated on completely different terms. Let that sink in.


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