Welcome to Sports Skeptic

A data-driven sports analysis platform. Questioning narratives with numbers.


Latest Analysis

The sports media machine churns out hot takes faster than a pitching machine fires fastballs. At Sports Skeptic, we pump the brakes and ask: does the data actually support that?

Every October, broadcasters can't stop talking about "clutch hitters." But decades of statistical research consistently show that clutch hitting ability — beyond normal skill — is largely a myth. We break down the numbers and show why your favorite "Mr. October" might just be benefiting from small sample sizes.

Read the full analysis →


The Skeptic's Approach

We believe in three principles:

  1. Question everything — Conventional wisdom is often just old wisdom
  2. Follow the data — Numbers don't lie, but people misinterpret them
  3. Explain clearly — Advanced stats are useless if nobody understands them

Quick Stats

MetricWhat People ThinkWhat Data Shows
Clutch HittingReal and measurableMostly noise
Hot HandA fallacyActually real (small effect)
RBIMeasures skillMeasures lineup position
Pitcher WinsMeasures pitchingMeasures team quality

Browse by Sport

Explore our coverage across all major sports leagues. We apply the same skeptical, data-first approach whether we're looking at WAR in baseball, EPA in football, or plus-minus in hockey.

  • MLB — Sabermetrics, projections, and debunking baseball myths
  • NFL — Advanced analytics beyond the box score
  • NBA — Player impact metrics and lineup analysis
  • NHL — Expected goals, possession stats, and more